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Inflation drops to 15.15% in December as NBS adjusts methodology

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The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Thursday said Nigeria’s Headline Inflation declined to 15.15 percent in December 2025.

Although the figure is higher than 14.45% reported in November, the adjustment in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased the figure to 17.33 percent.

The NBS in its monthly report said the December 2025 year-on-year Headline inflation rate, including all other sub-indexes, were obtained through maximisation of the index reference period, that is, using a 12-month index reference period where the average CPI for the 12 months of 2024 is equated to 100.

According to the report, “This is a departure from the single-month index reference period, in which December 2024 was set to 100, which would have produced an artificial spike in the December 2025 year-on-year inflation rate. This artificial spike is induced by the base effect, which is methodological, not structural, resulting in a rate that is not in tandem with current inflationary realities; hence the need to resort to the 12-month index reference period, by equating the entire 2024 to 100.”

It noted that this definitely affects the raising factor used for the re-referencing of the 2024 CPI series and the already released year-on-year inflation rates for January to November 2025.

“This process is in line with International Best Practice as contained in the Consumer Price Index International Monetary Fund (IMF) Manual, specifically in Section 9.125 and the ECOWAS Harmonised CPI Manual, which address index reference period maximisation, following a rebasing exercise.”

It went on to state that the 2024 re-reference CPI and the revised year-on-year inflation rates for January to November 2025 can be found in the Excel Tables published together with this report on the NBS website.

The report further disclosed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 131.2 in December 2025, up by 0.7 points from the previous Month (130.5).

“The December 2025 year-on-year Headline inflation rate stood at relative to the November 2025 headline inflation rate (17.33%).”

It said on a year-on-year basis, the December Headline inflation rate was 19.65% lower than the rate recorded in December 2024 (34.80%) and shows that the Headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) decreased in December 2025 compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., December 2024), though with a Different base year, November 2009 = 100.

On a month-on-month basis, it said the Headline inflation rate in December 2025 was 0.54%, which is 0.69% less than the rate recorded in November 2025 (1.22%).

“This means that in December 2025, the rate of increase in the average price level was lower than in November 2025.

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Sheikh Gumi Alleges US Intelligence Behind Boko Haram and Banditry in Nigeria

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Kaduna-based Islamic cleric Ahmad Gumi has alleged that American intelligence agencies are behind the activities of bandits and Boko Haram terrorists in Nigeria. Gumi made the claim in a Facebook post on Saturday while reacting to comments by Mike Arnold, who had spoken about the alleged persecution of Christians in Nigeria.

Gumi accused Arnold of promoting a false narrative about Christian killings while ignoring the insecurity affecting parts of northern Nigeria. He wrote that bandits and Boko Haram are “allegedly sponsored by the same American intelligence.” Gumi added: “One of the things Islam abhors is lies and liars.”

Key Points:

Gumi’s allegation could strain Nigeria-US counterterrorism cooperation if taken seriously.
The cleric’s claims may fuel anti-American sentiment among Nigerians already frustrated with insecurity.
Families of victims of banditry and Boko Haram attacks may feel their suffering is being used for political narratives.
The US government has not responded to Gumi’s allegations at the time of this report.
The timing of this claim, amid ongoing counterterrorism talks between Nigerian and US officials, is highly sensitive.

Sources: Daily Post Nigeria

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Airstrike Kills Several Civilians in Niger Village During Military Pursuit of Terrorists

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Several civilians were reportedly killed after a military airstrike hit Guradnayi village near Kusasu in Shiroro Local Government Area of Niger State early on Sunday morning.

According to Premium Times, residents said the attack happened around 5 am and followed the movement of armed terrorists on motorcycles through the area.

A resident of Kusasu said at least 12 people died in the house of one of his relatives in Guradnayi, including his cousin’s son. Residents claimed military aircraft were pursuing terrorists before the bombs were dropped. The Nigerian Air Force has not yet released an official statement.

Key Points:

Families in rural Niger State have lost multiple relatives in a single night of bombing.
Accidental airstrikes continue to kill civilians instead of the terrorists they target.
Residents fleeing from terrorists were reportedly among those killed in their homes.
Communities now face the impossible choice: stay and face bandits, or flee and face bombs.
Timing of this incident, without an official statement, leaves families in agonising uncertainty.

Sources : Daily Post Nigeria

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BREAKING NEWS: Hantavirus-Hit Cruise Ship Arrives in Spain’s Canary Islands

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A cruise ship where hantavirus cases were detected has arrived in Spain’s Canary Islands. The vessel docked after reports emerged of passengers infected with the rare and potentially deadly rodent-borne virus. Local health authorities are expected to implement quarantine and testing protocols for affected passengers and crew.

The situation has raised concerns about the spread of infectious diseases on international cruise liners. Further details on the number of cases and the severity of infections are awaited from Spanish health officials.

Key Points:

Passengers and crew on board face potential quarantine and health monitoring.
The cruise industry may face renewed scrutiny over infectious disease protocols.
Tourists planning cruises could reconsider bookings following the outbreak.
Local health systems in the Canary Islands must prepare for possible hospital admissions.
The timing of the arrival, peak tourist season, could impact regional tourism.

Watch for updates from Spanish health authorities on the number of confirmed cases and any quarantine measures implemented.

Sources: AFP

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